Comptes Rendus
Research article - Probability theory
On cases where Litt’s game is fair
Comptes Rendus. Mathématique, Volume 363 (2025), pp. 977-984

A fair coin is flipped $n$ times, and two finite sequences of heads and tails with the same length are given, say $A$ and $B$. Each time $A$ appears in the sequence of fair coin flips, Alice gets a point, and each time $B$ appears, Bob gets a point. Who is more likely to win? This puzzle is a slight extension of Litt’s game [10]. In this note, we show that the game is fair for any value of $n$ and any two words $A$, $B$ that have the same auto-correlation structure by building up a bijection that exchanges Bob and Alice scores. It is remarkable that the inter-correlations between $A$ and $B$ do not play any role in this case. Additionally, we propose a conjecture for cases where the game is unfair, providing insights into the underlying structure of the game for a fixed $n$.

Une pièce équilibrée est lancée $n$ fois, et deux suites finies $A$ et $B$ de piles et faces de même longueur sont données. Chaque fois que $A$ apparaît dans la suite de lancers de la pièce, Alice gagne un point, et chaque fois que $B$ apparaît, Bob gagne un point. Qui a le plus de chances de gagner ? Ce problème est une légère extension du jeu de Litt [10]. Nous montrons que le jeu est équitable pour toute valeur de $n$ et pour toute paire de mots $A$, $B$ ayant la même structure d’auto-corrélation, en construisant une bijection qui échange les scores de Bob et Alice. Le fait que les inter-corrélations entre $A$ et $B$ ne jouent aucun rôle ici est remarquable. De plus, nous proposons une conjecture pour les cas où le jeu est inéquitable, qui témoigne de la structure riche du jeu de taille finie.

Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published online:
DOI: 10.5802/crmath.783
Classification: 60C05
Keywords: Coin flips, pattern counts, stochastic games
Mots-clés : Pile ou face, motifs, jeu aléatoire

Anne-Laure Basdevant  1 ; Olivier Hénard  2 ; Édouard Maurel-Segala  2 ; Arvind Singh  2

1 Sorbonne Université, CNRS, Laboratoire de Probabilités, Statistique et Modélisation, 75205 Paris, France
2 Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, Laboratoire de mathématiques d’Orsay, 91405 Orsay, France
License: CC-BY 4.0
Copyrights: The authors retain unrestricted copyrights and publishing rights
@article{CRMATH_2025__363_G10_977_0,
     author = {Anne-Laure Basdevant and Olivier H\'enard and \'Edouard Maurel-Segala and Arvind Singh},
     title = {On cases where {Litt{\textquoteright}s} game is fair},
     journal = {Comptes Rendus. Math\'ematique},
     pages = {977--984},
     year = {2025},
     publisher = {Acad\'emie des sciences, Paris},
     volume = {363},
     doi = {10.5802/crmath.783},
     language = {en},
}
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Anne-Laure Basdevant
AU  - Olivier Hénard
AU  - Édouard Maurel-Segala
AU  - Arvind Singh
TI  - On cases where Litt’s game is fair
JO  - Comptes Rendus. Mathématique
PY  - 2025
SP  - 977
EP  - 984
VL  - 363
PB  - Académie des sciences, Paris
DO  - 10.5802/crmath.783
LA  - en
ID  - CRMATH_2025__363_G10_977_0
ER  - 
%0 Journal Article
%A Anne-Laure Basdevant
%A Olivier Hénard
%A Édouard Maurel-Segala
%A Arvind Singh
%T On cases where Litt’s game is fair
%J Comptes Rendus. Mathématique
%D 2025
%P 977-984
%V 363
%I Académie des sciences, Paris
%R 10.5802/crmath.783
%G en
%F CRMATH_2025__363_G10_977_0
Anne-Laure Basdevant; Olivier Hénard; Édouard Maurel-Segala; Arvind Singh. On cases where Litt’s game is fair. Comptes Rendus. Mathématique, Volume 363 (2025), pp. 977-984. doi: 10.5802/crmath.783

[1] Gunnar Blom On the stochastic ordering of waiting times for patterns in sequences of random digits, J. Appl. Probab., Volume 21 (1984) no. 4, pp. 730-737 | DOI | MR | Zbl

[2] Isa Cakir; Ourania Chryssaphinou; Marianne Månsson On a conjecture by Eriksson concerning overlap in strings, Comb. Probab. Comput., Volume 8 (1999) no. 5, pp. 429-440 | DOI | MR | Zbl

[3] Shalosh B. Ekhad; Doron Zeilberger How to answer questions of the type: If you toss a coin n times, how likely is HH to show up more than HT? (2024) | arXiv

[4] Shalosh B. Ekhad; Doron Zeilberger How to answer questions of the type: If you toss a coin n times, how likely is HH to show up more than HT?, Doron Zeilberger’s personal (online) journal https://sites.math.rutgers.edu/...

[5] Kimmo Eriksson Autocorrelation and the enumeration of strings avoiding a fixed string, Comb. Probab. Comput., Volume 6 (1997) no. 1, pp. 45-48 | MR | Zbl | DOI

[6] Geoffrey R. Grimmett Alice and Bob on 𝕏: reversal, coupling, renewal (2024) | arXiv | Zbl

[7] Leonidas J. Guibas; Andrew M. Odlyzko String overlaps, pattern matching, and nontransitive games, J. Comb. Theory, Ser. A, Volume 30 (1981) no. 2, pp. 183-208 | DOI | MR | Zbl

[8] Svante Janson; Mihai Nica; Simon Segert The generalized Alice HH vs Bob HT problem (2025) | arXiv

[9] Shuo-Yen Robert Li A martingale approach to the study of occurrence of sequence patterns in repeated experiments, Ann. Probab., Volume 8 (1980) no. 6, pp. 1171-1176 | MR | Zbl

[10] Daniel Litt Flip a fair coin 100 times, post on X (@littmath) https://x.com/littmath/status/1769044719034647001 (Accessed 2025-07-31)

[11] Marianne Månsson Pattern avoidance and overlap in strings, Comb. Probab. Comput., Volume 11 (2002) no. 4, pp. 393-402 | Zbl | MR | DOI

[12] Walter Penney Penney–Ante, Problem 95, J. Recreat. Math., Volume 2 (1969) no. 4, p. 241

[13] Sridhar Ramesh Consider a random walk, post on X (@RadishHarmers) https://x.com/... (Accessed 2025-07-31)

[14] Sridhar Ramesh Here are two bijective proofs, post on X (@RadishHarmers) https://x.com/... (Accessed 2025-07-31)

[15] Simon Segert A proof that HT is more likely to outnumber HH than vice versa in a sequence of n coin flips (2024) | arXiv

[16] Alex Selby In your original example, post on X (@alexselby1770) https://x.com/... (Accessed 2025-07-31)

Cited by Sources:

Comments - Policy