[Sur l'estimation d'un processus de sauts discretisé]
Soit un processus de sauts markovien observé en des temps discrets. À l'aide d'une formule explicite de la vraisemblance de la chaîne observée, nous proposons une théorie asymptotique de l'estimateur de vraisemblance.
We consider the parameter estimation problem for a Markov jump process sampled at periodic epochs with a constant step. Unlike the diffusion case where a closed form of the likelihood function is usually unavailable, we provide here an explicit expression of the likelihood function of the sampled chain. Moreover under suitable ergodicity condition on the jump process, we establish the consistency and the asymptotic normality of the likelihood estimator as the observation period tends to infinity.
Accepté le :
Publié le :
Dominique Dehay 1 ; Jian-feng Yao 1
@article{CRMATH_2006__342_5_341_0, author = {Dominique Dehay and Jian-feng Yao}, title = {On likelihood estimation for a discretely observed jump process}, journal = {Comptes Rendus. Math\'ematique}, pages = {341--344}, publisher = {Elsevier}, volume = {342}, number = {5}, year = {2006}, doi = {10.1016/j.crma.2005.12.025}, language = {en}, }
Dominique Dehay; Jian-feng Yao. On likelihood estimation for a discretely observed jump process. Comptes Rendus. Mathématique, Volume 342 (2006) no. 5, pp. 341-344. doi : 10.1016/j.crma.2005.12.025. https://comptes-rendus.academie-sciences.fr/mathematique/articles/10.1016/j.crma.2005.12.025/
[1] Maximum likelihood estimation for discretely sampled diffusions: a closed-form approximation approach, Econometrica, Volume 70 (2002), pp. 223-262
[2] Statistical inference for discretely observed Markov jump processes, J.R.S.S (B), Volume 67 (2005) no. 3, pp. 395-410
[3] B.M. Bibby, M. Jacobsen, M. Sørensen, Estimation functions for discretely sampled diffusion-type models, in: Y. Aït-Sahalia, L.P. Hansen (Eds.), Handbook of Financial Econometrics, North-Holland, Amsterdam, in press
[4] Statistical Inference for Markov Processes, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 1961
[5] Statistical methods in Markov chains, Ann. Math. Statist., Volume 32 (1961), pp. 12-40
[6] Probability and Statistics, vol. II, Springer-Verlag, New York, 1986
[7] Estimation in the birth process, Biometrika, Volume 61 (1974), pp. 71-80
[8] Maximum likelihood estimation in the birth-and-death process, Ann. Statist., Volume 3 (1975), pp. 363-372
[9] Estimating equations based on eigenfunctions for discretely observed diffusion processes, Bernoulli, Volume 5 (1999), pp. 299-314
Cité par Sources :
Commentaires - Politique